Time to Raise the Bar

September 28th, 2009

I enjoyed Philip Bowring’s illuminating opinion piece in The New York Times, “Chinese Exceptionalism,” about the clout China is accumulating on the international financial stage:

For sure, the United States has been in an exceptional position and one that has enabled it to consume more than is good for it. Many countries, with China the most vociferous, wish for a more balanced world in which other currencies play significant roles in trade finance, capital flows and exchange reserves.

But while the cries against U.S. privileges ring out loud and clear, scant notice is taken of the exceptionalism successfully pursued by China. Beijing has so far insisted on maintaining both a pegged currency and controls on capital flows.

Point being, if China wants to be a stakeholder in the new international financial system that is shaping up after the global economic downturn, it is going to have to play by the rules:

All of North America, Europe and Japan have no controls on capital flows and have fluctuating exchange rates. Ditto for South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, South Africa and most of trade-oriented Southeast Asia. India has some exchange controls but a floating currency, which is also the norm in South America.

So much for a level playing field:

This exceptionalism has helped China accumulate over $1 trillion in foreign reserves, that it naturally thinks should give it clout in the world. But where would China be if that exceptionalism were removed?

Its citizens would have higher wages and better living standards, but the government would be unable to boast of such huge reserves. As it is, China boasts of its reserves as the Soviets once boasted of their missiles.

China claims to want its currency, the yuan, to play a role in trade and capital flows. But Beijing continues to underwrite U.S. deficits by keeping its currency pegged and capital movements subject to controls, thereby preventing the yuan from playing an international role.

Time to raise the bar, China.

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One Response to “Time to Raise the Bar”

  1. outcast Says:

    We should consider the memories of the Asian Financial Crisis and what influence they have on China’s present day currency policy. From what I read, after a lot of the Tigers opened up their currencies, speculators came in and totally raped them. I also don’t see how a convertable Yuan would do anything to reduce its ForEx reserves, if anything it might encourage them to make the reserves grow even larger to ward off speculation. Japan for example also has a huge reserves (and is placed number two).

    It’s also questionable just how ready China’s overall economy really is to handle something like this. Even the most developed areas are still only roughly equivelent to Japan’s level of development in the 60′s (right before its multinational brands came out to pillage several major American industries), and there are large areas which aren’t anywhere near that level. Even though places like GuangDong are shedding their low end factories and moving up the value chain (and pushing R&D big time as well), the places where the factories are going are only just starting to develop.

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